Morgan Stanley's reports suggest an economic upturn for the coming year, in line with luxury brands’ keen interest in expanding their presence in India, taking advantage of the growing wealthy consumer base. Underneath this depiction of financial hope lies a stark contrast: an increasing pay inequality between the affluent and the everyday worker.
Fortune in the forecasts
The Indian economy is meant to bounce back based upon three key factors, as anticipated in the aforementioned reports: stronger consumption, government investments, and structural reforms as India is on the way to becoming one of the world’s fastest-growing economies. This predicted growing base is attracting luxury brands to establish and expand their presence in the Indian market.
In the past year, the luxury market generated 17.6 billion and has leased over 60000 square feet of retail space in India. According to Statista, this number is projected to grow at a compounded annual rate of 3.16%.
These projections paint a prosperous future for the country, an emerging market for luxury consumption as the affluent experience a rise in wealth, driving the demand for high-end goods.
Economic Strain and Changing Consumption Patterns
However, the reality of the average worker is much different as the Indian middle classes’ economic struggles have altered consumer patterns. As reported by Marcellus Investment Managers, this can be attributed to several factors. A decline in career opportunities can be observed as a result of the automation of routine jobs and, simultaneously, a slow disappearance of supervisory roles in work environments.
Data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) shows that household savings, as a percentage of the country’s GDP, have reached their lowest point in 50 years, suggesting that people are saving less of their disposable income relative to the overall economy.
With rising household debt, their disposable income has drastically reduced due to increased borrowing. This is seen as sales growth for FMCG (Fast-Moving Consumer Goods) companies, which produce everyday products like food, beverages, cleaning products, and toiletries, has been weaker in urban areas.
Counterfeiting and Exploitation
The rising popularity of luxury goods brings about unwanted effects as well. Luxury is not entirely about quality, but also a symbol of status and wealth in our society. A key issue luxury brands face in the Indian market is counterfeit goods with several instances of lawsuits; however, the problem persists due to weak law enforcement. While the process from producing to selling these counterfeit products becomes a source of livelihood for workers, they are subjected to poor working conditions with no formal employment contracts, lacking job security.
Al Jazeera accurately brings to light the counterwave of counterfeit goods being circulated in reaction to the increased demand for luxury goods. Fake products are distributed alongside the original items, diminishing the effort put in by the workers behind the brands. These ‘knock-offs’ exploit consumer wants and habits, which leads to job losses in authentic businesses.
Finding Solutions
The contrast between the struggles of the everyday worker and India’s burgeoning luxury market goes beyond mere economic disparity; it underscores a deeper issue that could affect the country’s progress where the affluent bear the fruits of the country’s economic growth and the rest are left behind to face a rising cost of living and stagnant wages.
True economic growth must be inclusive and this must be addressed by policy makers to ensure that India’s economic growth remains sustainable. Learn more about how policies ensure that Indian workers are fairly compensated for their time and effort here.